PredictionHardwareDelivered
Honeywell to grow its quantum volume tenfold every year for five years
Due 2025
Honeywell said in March 2020 that its trapped-ion quantum computer would launch with a quantum volume (a performance benchmark devised by IBM) of at least 64, and that it was on track to raise that figure tenfold every year for the next five years.
- Predicted by
- Honeywell
- Type
- Official company roadmap
- Said on
- Mar 3, 2020
- Original deadline
- each year for the next five years (2025)
- Status
- Delivered
Outcome
May 12, 2025: In May 2025 Quantinuum, which counts this 2020 Honeywell pledge as its own, reported a quantum volume of 8,388,608 (2^23) on its H2 system. Tenfold yearly growth from 64 over five years would reach 6.4 million. The figure is reported by the company.
Outcome sources
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Quantinuum
Quantinuum Dominates the Quantum Landscape: New World-Record in Quantum Volume
“Back in 2020, we made a promise to increase our Quantum Volume (QV), a measure of computational power, by 10x per year for 5 years. Today, we're pleased to share that we've followed through on our commitment: Our System Model H2 has reached a Quantum Volume of 2²³ = 8,388,608”
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The Quantum Insider
Quantinuum Smashes Through Quantum Volume Milestone, Capping Five-Year Benchmark Goal
“Quantinuum has achieved a Quantum Volume of 8,388,608 on its H2 system, completing a five-year goal to increase the metric tenfold annually.”
Source
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Honeywell
Honeywell Achieves Breakthrough That Will Enable The World's Most Powerful Quantum Computer
“When released, Honeywell's quantum computer will have a quantum volume of at least 64, twice that of the next alternative in the industry. In a scientific paper that will be posted to the online repository arXiv later today and is available now on Honeywell's website, Honeywell has demonstrated its quantum charge coupled device (QCCD) architecture, a major technical breakthrough in accelerating quantum capability. The company also announced it is on a trajectory to increase its computer's quantum volume by an order of magnitude each year for the next five years.”
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