PredictionQuantum advantagePending
DARPA expects a utility-scale quantum computer to be built by 2033
Due 2033
DARPA's Quantum Benchmarking Initiative estimates it is more likely than not that at least one company will build an industrially useful quantum computer, one whose computational value exceeds its cost, by 2033.
- Predicted by
- Micah Stoutimore (Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency)
- Type
- Government target
- Said on
- Oct 7, 2026
- Original deadline
- by 2033 (2033)
- Status
- Pending
- Counts toward
- the Quantum Supremacy estimate
Sources (2)
-
DARPA
Four more teams enter Quantum Benchmarking Initiative's final stage
““The quantum computing field is moving quickly, and we increasingly expect that someone will build a utility-scale quantum computer by 2033,” said Stoutimore.”
-
DARPA
Quantum Benchmarking Initiative (QBI)
“As a result, QBI estimates that on balance, it is more likely than not that at least one company will be able to create an industrially useful quantum computer by 2033.”
Each quote above was checked automatically against the original page. Added Oct 15, 2026. Spotted an error? Tell us and we will review it.